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Monday, 24 August 2026

#452 Bike ottawa Questions

 

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Bike Ottawa: Councillor Candidate Questions

Your name *

Peter Jan Karwacki

Ward where you are a candidate *

RideauRockcliffe

How do you typically get around your ward and Ottawa, and how does that shape your policy outlook?

Do you personally cycle in Ottawa, even occasionally, and what does that experience tell you about what needs to change?

I get around mostly by ebike — I've owned four since 2012 — supplemented by driving when the trip or weather doesn't make cycling practical. That's not a talking point, it's how I actually experience the ward's infrastructure, and it shapes how I evaluate it. When you ride the same intersections a city planning document describes, the gap between "Complete Street" language and what's actually on the ground becomes obvious fast. I've documented it directly — a well-designed intersection versus Coventry and St. Laurent, which is a mess by comparison. That's not opinion, that's what's there. It's also why I don't take City proposals at face value. On the St. Laurent Transit Priority Corridor EA, the City's plan still preserves six to eight lanes of vehicle capacity in key sections and leans on shared bus-bike lanes instead of continuous, physically separated cycle tracks (aaa)— the standard that actually makes a route usable for a senior, a kid, or someone with mobility limitations, not just a confident commuter. I check that against groups like Bike Ottawa's own analysis, and the pattern holds: the rhetoric says "complete street," the design still prioritizes vehicle throughput. That's the throughline in my platform: I'm a data analyst by training, and I don't guess — I check the record, whether that record is a council vote or a lane width on a corridor I ride myself. Infrastructure that works for everyone, including low-power EVs and cyclists who aren't 25 and fearless, isn't a lifestyle preference. It's what the data — and the pavement — actually show is missing.

If elected, what would be your top three transportation priorities?

ST. LAURENT tunnel, Vanier Parkway and Beechwood traffic circle, new easr end crossing

Ottawa's Official Plan sets a goal of having the majority of trips within the City made by low-carbon modes, including cycling. Do you support that target, and what concrete steps would you take to achieve it on your watch?

I support the target. I don't support treating it as a target — I support treating it as a deliverable. Ottawa isn't on track, and no amount of "Complete Street" language in a staff report changes that unless the design specs change with it. I don't run on impressions, I run on the record — and the record on St. Laurent Boulevard, one of this ward's key corridors, shows a Transit Priority Corridor EA that still preserves six to eight lanes of vehicle capacity in key sections and falls back on shared bus-bike lanes instead of continuous, physically separated AAA cycle tracks. You cannot hit a majority-low-carbon-trips target with infrastructure that only works for a confident, able-bodied commuter. That's not a modal-share plan, it's a modal-share aspiration with a vehicle-throughput plan underneath it. So, concretely, on my watch: 1. Make AAA the floor, not the aspiration. Fewer shared bus-bike lanes presented as interim solutions on arterial corridors — full separation or don't claim the corridor as active-transportation infrastructure. 2. Extend scope where the City's own boundary is arbitrarily short. The St. Laurent EA stops at Industrial Avenue while density keeps building toward Smyth Road — the target doesn't stop there, so the network can't either. 3. Fix the highway-ramp gaps, not just the street segments. The 417 interchanges along St. Laurent are where the "complete" in Complete Streets currently breaks down entirely — high-speed slip lanes prioritizing vehicle throughput over the cyclists and pedestrians the plan claims to serve. 4. Design for the full range of riders, not just the fearless ones — infrastructure that also works for seniors and people with mobility limitations, and room for low-power EVs, not just traditional bikes. 5. Report progress against the target publicly, on a schedule — the same accountability standard I'm applying to every other file: don't let a good target substitute for a measurable one. I'm a certified PMP and a trained data analyst. A target without a tracked delivery plan is just a communications strategy. My job, if elected, is to close that gap — and I've committed to one term to do it, not to manage the gap indefinitely.

Cyclist deaths and serious injuries on Ottawa roads remain a persistent problem. Do you believe in the Vision Zero tenet that no loss of life or serious injury on our roads is acceptable? If so, through which policies (road design, speed limits, enforcement, etc.) will you champion it in the next Road Safety Action Plan?

Yes, without qualification. And I'd point out that supporting it "in principle" is the easy part — every candidate will say yes to that question. The real test is whether you'll back it with design changes that actually change outcomes, even when they're politically uncomfortable for a specific intersection or a specific street. The City's own published rationale for where it uses roundabouts already makes the safety case better than I could: a roundabout means a pedestrian crosses only two directions of slow-moving traffic instead of the multi-directional turning conflicts at a signal, and it removes the specific failure mode of a driver running a red light through a crossing pedestrian — something a signal can't design away. That's the City's own logic, applied inconsistently. So here's where I act. Close the loop on gateway intersections the City has already flagged. St. Laurent and Hemlock sits at the doorstep of a still-growing neighbourhood, and the City's own Beechwood Community Design Plan makes the same "parkway meets mainstreet" argument for that intersection that it already acted on a few hundred metres away at Rockcliffe Parkway and Confederation Boulevard. I'd fold a roundabout feasibility study into the live St. Laurent Transit Priority Corridor EA now, while the corridor boundary is already open, not as a costlier retrofit after the fact. 1. Stop treating known risks as someone else's timeline. This ward has a five-year pattern of an "urgent" engineering finding sitting without funded action — I won't let road safety follow the same track record. 2. Make AAA cycling infrastructure the design floor, not a negotiable line item. 3. Shared bus-bike lanes on arterial corridors are a serious-injury risk waiting to happen, mixing bikes with 40-foot buses. Full physical separation, or don't count the corridor toward the safety target. 4. Sequence road-safety studies to actual growth, not lagging counts. 5. Wateridge Village is still being built out and is already generating enough traffic pressure for its own residents to push a council motion on speeding. I'd require projected build-out volumes to be factored into safety studies now, before the intersection is already failing. 6. Track it like a project, not a slogan. Vision Zero needs a measurable delivery plan with public reporting against it — the same standard I apply to every file. A target without a tracked plan is just a communications strategy, not a policy. I've committed to four years only. ───

What is your assessment of the current state of the City's (not the NCC's) cycling infrastructure in your ward? Its strengths and weaknesses?

Mixed, and I'll give you the honest breakdown rather than a talking point, because that's the standard I hold everyone else to. Strengths: Where the City has actually built protected, purpose-designed intersections, it works — I've filmed and compared them myself. There are pockets in this ward that show the City knows how to do this correctly when it commits to it. The St. Laurent Transit Priority Corridor EA also has some genuinely good bones on paper: raised cycle tracks, protected intersection geometry at nodes like Donald Street, floating transit islands. That's real progress compared to nothing. Weaknesses, and there are more of them than the City's messaging admits: • Compare Coventry and St. Laurent to the good intersection nearby, and the gap is obvious. It's a mess — narrow, inconsistent, and clearly retrofitted around vehicle priority rather than designed for a cyclist from the start. • The City's own plan still falls back on shared bus-bike lanes in tight commercial stretches instead of full AAA separation — mixing bikes with 40-foot buses is not safe infrastructure, it's a compromise dressed up as a solution. • The 417 interchanges along St. Laurent remain a hard barrier. High-speed slip lanes prioritize vehicle throughput over the cyclists and pedestrians the plan claims to serve — that's not a design detail, it's the corridor's biggest unresolved safety gap. • The EA's scope stops short. It ends at Industrial Avenue while housing density keeps building toward Smyth Road — a network that stops at an arbitrary administrative boundary isn't actually a network. • Vehicle capacity is still protected over active transportation. Up to six to eight lanes preserved in key sections tells you where the real priority sits, regardless of the "Complete Street" label on the report cover. And now there's a structural threat on top of all of this: Ontario's Bill 60 restricts municipalities from converting vehicle lanes into bike lanes — which is exactly the retrofit tool the City has relied on to build a connected, separated bike grid affordably. If that tool gets taken away provincially, Ward 13's gaps don't get filled, they get frozen in place. So my assessment: the City knows what good design looks like — it's built some of it. What's missing is the discipline to apply that standard consistently, instead of treating AAA separation as negotiable whenever a corridor gets tight or contested. That's not a resourcing problem, it's a decision problem — which is exactly the kind of gap I built my platform around finding and closing. ───

One of the consequences of the ban of speed cameras by the provincial government is that the Road Safety Action Plan has seen its budget reduced by 1/3. Will you pledge to increase the active transportation budget in order to build a true connected network and so that all of the most dangerous intersections (as identified in the March 2020 Cycling Safety Review of High-Volume Intersections Study; Staff ReportConsultant Report) can get safe infrastructure within the next term of Council?

Yes, and I'll tell you exactly what I'm pledging to, because vague budget commitments are how this file has been managed for six years already. I checked the actual staff report, not just the headline. The March 2020 Cycling Safety Review screened 74 high-volume intersections down to 30, developed conceptual protected designs for 29 of them, and priced the total at roughly $32 million — Class D estimates, not including property acquisition, hydro burial, or signal costs, so the real number is higher. As of that report, there was no dedicated funding to implement any of it. One location — Smyth at Riverside Hospital — got $810,000 combined from RSAP and Transportation Planning, against a conceptual cost of $1.5 million, meaning staff had to scale back the design just to fit the budget available. The City's own low-cost safety program, CSIP, runs on $105,000 a year for 10 locations. That's the baseline this file was operating from before the province pulled speed camera revenue out of the Road Safety Action Plan and cut its budget by a third. So here's my answer: yes, I'll pledge to increase the active transportation budget, but I want to be precise about what that pledge means, because "increase the budget" without a target is exactly the kind of soft commitment I've built my whole platform around calling out. 1. Fund the $32 million backlog on a fixed multi-year schedule, tied to the next term of Council, not left to compete year-to-year against every other capital ask with no protected allocation. 2. Replace the lost speed-camera revenue in the RSAP dollar-for-dollar from general capital, not just accept the one-third cut as the new baseline. The province creating a funding gap doesn't reduce the danger at these intersections — it just shifts who's responsible for closing it, and I think that's Council's job now. 3. Report publicly, intersection by intersection, against the 2020 list — which of the 30 are funded, which are designed, which are built, on a schedule the public can actually check. Right now that list exists but there's no public tracker holding the City to it. 4. Stop letting design-to-budget substitution become the norm. Smyth and Riverside got a scaled-back design to fit an insufficient budget — that's a symptom of underfunding, not a design choice, and it shouldn't be repeated silently at the next 29 locations. I'm a certified PMP and a trained data analyst. A capital list with no funding line and no public tracker isn't a plan, it's a wish list. My job is to turn it into a schedule with money behind it — and to be honest with residents that this means real budget dollars.

What is your position on the content of the bikeshare feasibility report released in April 2026 and its proposed system (publicly-supported network of 90 docked stations and 900 bikes in Ottawa, as a start)? Do you support the public funding of this service?

I support it, with a specific condition attached, because the report itself hands me the exact reason to attach one: Ward 13 isn't in the initial service area! The study's own Table 16 lists "Montréal Road to St. Laurent Boulevard" and "Overbrook" as high-value destinations sitting just beyond the proposed 30 km² launch zone. So before I sign off on public dollars for this, my first question is the one nobody's asking: is Ward 13 funding a system on day one that it doesn't get to use on day one? That's not a reason to oppose it. It's a reason to negotiate the terms, which is exactly the distinction I bring to every file — supporting the right thing in principle isn't the same as approving whatever version shows up in a staff report. On the substance, the data in the feasibility study holds up. This isn't a speculative pitch — it's benchmarked against five peer systems (Toronto, Montréal, Québec City, Washington, Hamilton), and every one of them required public operating subsidy; none run on user fees alone, even mature systems in Toronto and Montréal only recover about 75% of operating costs from fees and sponsorship combined. So the honest framing for residents is: yes, this needs public money, permanently, not just at launch — roughly $0.45M to $2.2M a year in public investment depending on scenario, on top of $11.7M-$13.4M in one-time capital. Anyone who tells you bike share pays for itself hasn't read the report. Given that, here's my position: 1. Support the system, on the condition that expansion into Ward 13 is written into the plan from day one — not left as a vague "future phase." The report already names the corridor. I want a committed timeline attached to it, not an aspiration. 2. Support public funding at the level the report says is actually required — the mixed-revenue model with real, ongoing operating subsidy, not a low-ball "best case" number presented to Council as if it's the expected case. 3. Push for the governance model and cost tracking to be transparent from the start. This region has already burned through two failed bike share systems — Capital BIXI and VeloGo — both undone by unclear governance and unrealistic self-funding assumptions. I'm not interested in a third failure because Council wouldn't be honest about the subsidy up front. 4. Insist Ward 13 residents aren't asked to help fund a service they can't yet ride. If expansion timing slips past a reasonable horizon, that's a legitimate equity question for a ward that's already carrying more than its share of downtown-adjacent truck traffic and infrastructure deferral on other files. I'm a data analyst. The numbers in this study are solid and the peer-system lessons are honestly presented — including the uncomfortable ones about ongoing subsidy. My job is to make sure "regional system" doesn't quietly mean "everyone pays, only some wards ride," the way too many other files in this ward have gone. ───

What do you think of winter cycling, and what would you do to ensure safe cycling infrastructure is maintained year-round, including winter plowing of bike lanes and pathways to the same standard as roads?

Many barriers can make access to safe cycling difficult: income, gender, age, race, disability, etc. How would you reduce those barriers and make sure those communities get equitable investment in safe cycling?

In winter I prefer my fat bike.
Honestly, before I list what I'd do, let me name where I'd start: with the data, not with a good-intentions statement. You can't equitably invest in something you haven't measured, and right now most of Ottawa's cycling planning still gets scored on volume and connectivity, not on who's actually being left out. A few concrete things I'd push for: 1. Design for the full range of riders, not the confident commuter. I've said this on every cycling file I've worked on: AAA — All Ages and Abilities — infrastructure has to be the design floor, not an aspiration line in a staff report. That means physically separated cycle tracks, not shared bus-bike lanes, because a shared lane only works for someone who's already comfortable riding next to a 40-foot bus. Seniors, kids, and people with mobility limitations get excluded by design the moment "shared" is treated as good enough. 2. Use the equity data that already exists, and act on it. The region's own Bike Share Feasibility Study built an explicit equity lens into its planning — mapping neighbourhoods with higher transportation-related barriers, and recommending subsidized memberships, adaptive cycles, and access options for people without a smartphone, credit card, or bank account. That's the right instinct. My complaint isn't with the tool, it's that this same rigour needs to apply to every cycling infrastructure decision, not just the one program that happened to build it in. 3. Don't let equity-priority neighbourhoods sit outside the "initial phase." I've already flagged this on the bike share file specifically — parts of this ward, like the Montréal Road to St. Laurent corridor, are named in the study as high-value but left out of the launch service area. If we let every program's "phase two" be where equity commitments quietly go to wait, we've built a system that's equitable on paper and sequential in practice. I want expansion into underserved corridors on a committed timeline, not a promise. 4. Build for people who aren't going to bike to work at 8am on a road bike. That includes low-power EVs and adaptive cycles, wider intersection clearances, and infrastructure that works for someone getting groceries, taking a kid to school, or managing a mobility limitation — not just the peak-commuter use case that most volume-based planning defaults to. 5. Track and report it. I'm a data analyst. If the City says it's investing equitably, I want a public number attached to that claim — dollars and kilometres of protected infrastructure delivered in equity-priority neighbourhoods, tracked the same way we'd track any other capital commitment. Otherwise "equity" is an aspirational value statement, not a plan. The throughline across everything I've said on cycling this campaign is the same: good intentions in a policy document don't move a wheelchair, a stroller, or a senior on a bike through an unsafe intersection. Only design and funding do. That's where I'd put the focus.
───
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#451 Keeping it simple

  



1: St-Laurent LRT Tunnel (infrastructure oversight)

My name is Peter Karwacki. I'm running for Ward Rideau-Rockcliffe.

In 2020, city engineers called the St-Laurent LRT tunnel an urgent safety risk. 

It's 2026 and It's still not fixed.

That's not a mystery. That's what happens when nobody on council is watching the file.

I'm a data analyst and administrator by training — 13 years at IBM and Cognos. I don't guess, I check the record. And on this file, the record is silence.

I'm running because Ward 13 needs someone who follows through, not someone who waits for a ribbon-cutting. And I've committed to one term — because I'm here to fix the problem, not build a career on it.

That's the choice this October.

Tag line: 

"That's not a mystery. That's what happens when nobody's watching the file."


2: AI Governance in City Hall

My name is Peter Karwacki. I'm running for Ward Rideau-Rockcliffe.

Right now, thousands of city staff are using AI tools every week. There's no published governance framework for it. No audit. No appeal process if it gets something wrong about you.

Ottawa's AI use isn't coming. 

It's already here — we just don't have the rules for it yet.

I spent 13 years at IBM and Cognos as a data analyst. This is exactly the kind of gap I know how to find and close: disclosure, audit, accountability — before it's a crisis, not after.

I'm not interested in a long political career. I've committed to one term, because my job is to fix this, not manage it forever.

That's the choice this October.

Tag line: 

"Ottawa's AI use isn't coming. It's already here."


3: Truth vs. Comfort (turnout / structural reform)

My name is Peter Karwacki. I'm running for Ward Rideau-Rockcliffe.

Here's a fact most people don't know: 

Ottawa incumbents win re-election almost every single time. And only about 4 in 10 eligible voters actually show up to vote.

Incumbents tell people what they want to hear, because their job depends on it. 

I tell people what's true, because mine doesn't.

I'm a data analyst and project manager I don't run on impressions, I run on the record. And the record shows a system coasting on low turnout, not real accountability.

I've committed to serving one term. I'm not here to build a career. I'm here to fix a structure that's been broken for a long time.

That's the choice this October.

Tag line: 

"Incumbents tell you what you want to hear. 

I tell you what's true."


4: OPS Board Oversight 

My name is Peter Karwacki. I'm running for Ward Rideau-Rockcliffe.

The city's own auditor found the Ottawa Police Service's internal auditing isn't robust enough to catch misuse of its own databases. That finding sat there. 

Nobody on the Police Services Board treated it as an emergency.

A police force that can't audit its own records isn't accountable — if it is unaudited.

I'm a trained data analyst. 

This is a solvable problem — anomaly detection on access logs is standard technology. It's not being used here, and that's a choice, not a limitation.

I've committed to one term on council, because I'm here to fix what's broken, not manage it indefinitely.

That's the choice this October.

Tag line: 

"A police force that can't audit its own records isn't accountable — if it is unaudited."


5: East-End Interprovincial Crossing (Kettle Island)

My name is Peter Karwacki. I'm running for Ward Rideau-Rockcliffe.

This is one of the clearest differences between me and the incumbent. 

The federal government is now doing soil testing for a new bridge at Kettle Island — $221 million committed to preconstruction alone. This isn't hypothetical anymore. It's happening.

Council overrules ward-level objections 16 to 9, every time. 

So the real question was never whether Rideau-Rockcliffe could stop this bridge. It's whether we show up and shape it — or get shaped by it.

Councillor King has opposed this project. I think that's the wrong call. 

Thousands of trucks a day are already cutting through downtown streets like King Edward and Rideau — this crossing is how we get them out. 

Ward 13 sits closer to this project than anyone. That should mean we're leading the design and mitigation conversation, not standing on the sidelines saying no to something that's already funded and underway.

I've committed to one term on council — because my job is to lead on this file, not manage decline on it.

That's the real choice this October.

Tag line: 

"The question was never whether we could stop this bridge. It's whether we show up and shape it — or get shaped by it."


Notes

  • This reflects my actual stated position: you support the crossing and see King's opposition as ward-level NIMBYism that loses anyway once it hits full council. 
  • That's a real point of contrast, not just tone 
  • CTV itself has already covered this story (soil testing / preconstruction funding),
Endorsement:


Check it out!


Sunday, 23 August 2026

#450 Keeping it simple for voters

apologies for the sound quality
Platform One-Pager — Clarity Layer | Peter Karwacki

A Simple Platform

· Ward (Rideau-Rockcliffe) · Peter Karwacki

Evidence Base by Pillar (investigative posts)
Transit & Infrastructure
23
Money & Accountability
18
Fixing Decisions
8
Public Safety Oversight
7
Housing
3
1

Transit & Infrastructure

Fix the buses, roads, and parks people actually use every day.

Proof point: St-Laurent Station faces multi-week full LRT track closures for concrete and water-infiltration repairs (planned ~2028), while other priorities move faster.
2

Money & Accountability

Show where every tax dollar goes and make sure someone is watching.

Proof point: City paid $95 million for a landfill site assembled for roughly $8–23 million under an NDA, on a 20–5 vote, while basic asset data often requires FOI requests.
3

Public Safety Oversight

Keep communities safe with clear rules and real oversight of the people who enforce them.

Proof point: An independent police workplace investigations office created in 2022 was quietly shut down in 2023 without Police Services Board consultation; clearance-rate and complaint trends still lack routine public metrics.
4

Fixing How Decisions Get Made

Change the rules so decisions are open, fair, and harder for insiders to game.

Proof point: Ottawa uses AI in city operations with no public governance framework (inventory, disclosure, human review, or audit standards), while major decisions continue under secrecy patterns documented in the LRT inquiry and convoy reports.
+

Housing (supporting plank)

More homes that working people can actually afford, without the usual delays and excuses.

Proof point: Housing targets are repeatedly missed while policies continue to concentrate ultra-affordable units in limited parts of the ward.
Summary — Clarity Layer

Summary

Evidence Base by Pillar (number of deep posts)
Transit & Infrastructure
23
Money & Accountability
18
Fixing Decisions
8
Public Safety Oversight
7
Housing
3
1

Transit & Infrastructure

Fix the buses, roads, and parks people actually use every day.

2

Money & Accountability

Show where every tax dollar goes and make sure someone is watching.

3

Public Safety Oversight

Keep communities safe with clear rules and real oversight of the people who enforce them.

4

Fixing How Decisions Get Made

Change the rules so decisions are open, fair, and harder for insiders to game.

+

Housing (supporting plank)

More homes that working people can actually afford, without the usual delays and excuses.

#449 Trade War Will Create Fiscal Pressure - ward 13 is not immune

The Trade War Won't Hit Rideau-Rockcliffe Where You'd Expect

The Trade War Won't Hit Rideau-Rockcliffe Where You'd Expect

Ottawa has no auto plant, no steel mill, no aluminum smelter. That doesn't mean this ward is insulated — it means the exposure runs through a different channel entirely.

As of this week, Canada and the United States are in the deepest trade rupture in decades. Talks collapsed on August 21. The U.S. imposed 50% tariffs on roughly $20 billion of Canadian goods the next morning. Prime Minister Carney has promised to match "dollar for dollar" starting September 8, targeting steel, dairy, appliances, agricultural equipment, pulp and paper, and electronics.

If you live in Rideau-Rockcliffe and you're wondering whether any of this actually touches you, the honest answer is: probably not directly. This ward doesn't build cars, smelt aluminum, or ship crude. But "not directly" isn't the same as "not at all" — and the channel that does reach us is worth understanding before it shows up in a budget line instead of a headline.

What Canada actually sells the U.S.

Start with the numbers, because the political rhetoric around this fight tends to flatten a very lopsided picture. One product category dwarfs everything else Canada exports south.

Canada's Top Exports to the U.S. (2024, USD billions)
Mineral fuels & oil $125.7B Vehicles $51.0B Machinery $31.1B Unclassified commodities $19.0B Plastics $14.0B Electrical/electronic equip. $13.2B Wood products $11.3B Aluminum $11.2B Pharmaceuticals $8.4B Aircraft/spacecraft $7.7B Iron & steel $7.6B
Source: UN Comtrade via Trading Economics, Canada exports to the United States, 2024. Red = energy; gold = the two sectors (steel, aluminum) that dominate tariff headlines but are mid-table by dollar value.

Energy alone is worth more than the next three categories combined. Vehicles are a distant second, though the dollar figure understates how integrated that sector is — auto parts cross the border up to eight times before final assembly. Steel and aluminum, which get most of the political attention, are actually smaller by value than plastics or machinery. None of this touches Rideau-Rockcliffe directly; none of it is produced here.

What Canada actually buys from the U.S.

The reverse flow matters just as much for understanding what retaliatory tariffs will cost Canadians directly, including here.

Canada's Top Imports from the U.S. (2024, USD billions)
Vehicles $49.9B Machinery $38.0B Mineral fuels & oil $27.3B Electrical/electronic equip. $14.5B Plastics $12.8B Unclassified commodities $10.6B Optical/medical apparatus $6.5B Precious metals $6.0B Pharmaceuticals $5.9B Paper & paperboard $5.3B
Source: UN Comtrade via Trading Economics, Canada imports from the United States, 2024.

Two things jump out. First, vehicles and machinery — much of it industrial and agricultural equipment, and inputs Canadian manufacturers themselves rely on — are what Canada buys most from the U.S., which means retaliatory tariffs raise costs for Canadian businesses and consumers, not just American ones. Second, Canada exports about $126B in energy to the U.S. and imports back only $27B — the energy relationship is almost entirely one-directional, which is exactly why Carney keeps citing it as leverage he isn't eager to give up.

Nowhere in either chart is anything Rideau-Rockcliffe produces or assembles. That's the accurate starting point for this ward: no factory here loses an export contract. But that's not the same as no impact.

The channel that actually reaches Rideau-Rockcliffe: the federal budget

This ward's economy doesn't run on manufacturing exports. It runs, disproportionately, on federal employment — and federal employment is exposed to a trade war through the government's own books, not through a tariff schedule.

Two things are happening at once, and it's important not to conflate them

First — independent of any trade war — the federal government is already partway through a planned downsizing. Budget 2025 set a target of cutting the public service by roughly 4.5%, about 16,000 positions, over three fiscal years, aiming to bring the workforce down from its 2024 peak of 367,772 to around 330,000 by 2028-29. The Ottawa-Gatineau region carries the disproportionate weight of this: 43% of the entire public service is based here, and by 2026 the region's federal headcount had already fallen from roughly 154,000 to about 146,000 — a 5% drop in a single year.

Second — layered on top, and new — a trade war worsens the fiscal picture the government is managing that downsizing against. Slower growth means weaker revenue. Tariff-relief programs, sector support, and provincial contingency funds mean new spending commitments the 2025 budget didn't originally price in. None of this changes the target on paper. It changes how much room the government has to hit that target gently, through attrition and voluntary buyouts, versus how much pressure builds to hit it harder and faster.

For readers who followed the "Rockcliffe's Red Ink" piece on this blog: the K1K insolvency data showing a 2026 uptick in consumer proposals — concentrated in exactly the senior-public-servant demographic this postal code is known for — was already visible before this week's tariff collapse. This is the same mechanism, one layer further upstream, and it's not getting less relevant.

What this means in practice for the ward

ChannelDirect trade exposureFiscal/employment exposure
Manufacturing/export sectorEffectively none — no auto, steel, or aluminum production in the wardN/A
Federal employmentNone — the public service isn't tariffedHigh — NCR carries 43% of a workforce already being cut, with a worsening fiscal backdrop
Cross-border retail & travelLow-moderate — Ottawa-Gatineau has real cross-border flow, already dampened by the broader consumer boycottIndirect, via lower local business revenue
Local agriculture/forestry (Ottawa Valley edge)Low but nonzero — dairy and agricultural equipment are named in the September retaliatory listIndirect
General consumer pricesModerate — retaliatory tariffs raise the cost of the U.S. goods Canadians actually buy most: vehicles, machinery, electronicsAffects every household, not ward-specific

The pattern across every row is the same: Rideau-Rockcliffe's risk from this trade war is not a factory-floor risk. It's a household-budget risk, delivered through a federal paycheque that depends on a federal budget under more pressure than it was three months ago.

Three questions worth asking before October

  • Has the City modelled its own exposure to a slower federal hiring pace? A meaningful share of Ottawa's property tax base and local consumer spending traces back to federal payroll. If Ottawa-Gatineau's federal headcount keeps shrinking faster than the national average, that's a city-budget question, not just a household one.
  • Is this risk showing up anywhere in local political discussion? This is exactly the kind of slow-moving, unglamorous fiscal risk that doesn't generate a ribbon-cutting or a photo op — which is also exactly the kind of risk that tends to go unmentioned until it shows up as a budget shortfall.
  • Are residents in older, federally-employed households prepared for a longer runway of uncertainty? Not a policy question so much as a plain one worth naming: this isn't a one-quarter shock. Both the downsizing plan and the trade dispute run on multi-year timelines.

None of this is a call for alarm. It's a call for accuracy. Rideau-Rockcliffe is not going to show up in a list of tariff-exposed Ontario manufacturing towns, and it shouldn't pretend otherwise. But "we don't make anything that gets tariffed" is a different claim than "we're not affected," and this ward's residents deserve the more accurate one.

References

  • UN Comtrade / Trading Economics — Canada exports to and imports from the United States, 2024
  • Al Jazeera, CNBC, NPR, CNN — U.S.-Canada trade talks collapse and 50% tariff coverage, Aug 21–23, 2026
  • Statement by Prime Minister Carney on Canada-U.S. trade negotiations, pm.gc.ca, Aug 21, 2026
  • CBC News — "Federal public service shrinks by over 12,000 workers in 2026" and "Carney budget to slash public service by 16,000 over 3 years"
  • Government of Canada, Treasury Board — Workforce reductions in the federal public service (Comprehensive Expenditure Review)
  • Financial Accountability Office of Ontario — The Potential Impacts of US Tariffs on the Ontario Economy

Saturday, 22 August 2026

#448 Ward 13 Connection - money to the Byward Market and Tourism

Regardless, visible drug use and its debris is a real, commonly cited reason people avoid the Market, and no amount of streetscaping, plazas, or a destination building fixes that if the underlying safety/visibility problem isn't addressed at the same time.

What's Planned for the ByWard Market?

A check on the redevelopment plan, the agency running it.

The ByWard Market shows up in a lot of campaign conversation as shorthand  such as "we need to fix the Market" — without much clarity on what's actually approved, funded, underway, or stalled. Here's where things stand as of late August 2026.

The plan itself is recycled

The ByWard Market Public Realm Plan was approved by Council back in January 2021, as a roughly $129-million vision for the district: a pedestrian-first street network along William Street and ByWard Market Square, wider sidewalks, more greenery, and a new "destination building" replacing the aging municipal parking garage at 70 Clarence Street.

 At the time, staff described the neighbourhood as struggling and in need of a physical transformation to match its role as one of the city's biggest tourism draws.

What's changed recently is implementation. In March 2026, Council approved a follow-up report — "Advancing the ByWard Market" — that moves the 2021 plan from vision into an active, coordinated redevelopment program. 

That report recommends close to $8 million for design work on three priority pieces: 

  • the historic market building at 55 ByWard Market Square, 
  • a new plaza on York Street, and 
  • the Clarence Street garage ( put it underground? For $50 large)

Closer to 2027 is the smaller, cheaper, more visible stuff: a branding strategy, a two-day night market, pedestrian underpass lighting, and programming initiatives like "Best of ByWard." 

Those are real and worth having, but they're not the structural fixes — the building, the plaza, the garage — that the "revitalization" language points to.

Two options are still on the table for what actually replaces the garage. In the meantime, the City has converted it to short-term pay-and-display parking while longer-range mobility planning continues.

There's a soft deadline in the background: 2027 marks the ByWard Market's 200th anniversary, and City staff have pointed to that milestone as a target for visible progress. Its not critical in my view.

This is a multi-year capital spending file. The design money is approved; construction money and a final decision on 70 Clarence is not it still has to come back to Council. 

The City's confirmed, funded commitment right now is about $7.4M in design-phase capital authority, structured to be repaid from hotel-tax revenue rather than general taxation. 

The $200M total project cost is a staff estimate, not an approved budget based on aan underground parking space. Council has only authorized staff to go find the money for it, with construction on the three anchor projects potentially still three-plus years out. 

There is a gap between the "$200M revitalization" headline and the much smaller, hotel-tax-backed amount actually on the books.

Anyone elected this October will be voting on the next phase, not the whole thing.

Who actually runs the Market?

The governance has changed twice in the last few years and it's easy to reference an organization that no longer exists. 

There is no ByWard Market BIA anymore. 

In 2023, Council dissolved the old Business Improvement Area and merged it with the City's market-management corporation into a single body: the ByWard Market District Authority (BMDA), a municipal services corporation with its own board. 

BMDA now runs vendor leasing, event programming, and day-to-day operations for both the ByWard and Parkdale markets. 

The City's Director of Economic Development Services sits on BMDA's board as an ex-officio member, and Economic Development Services provides a liaison function — but BMDA otherwise operates at arm's length.

What just happened

On August 18, 2026, BMDA parted ways with its executive director, Victoria Williston, after seven months in the role. The board's public explanation was minimal — a decision to "move in a different direction," described as internal and private, with no further comment and no announced replacement. 

Williston had been publicly framing BMDA's strategy around partnerships with Ottawa Tourism, the City, and the Board of Trade to rebuild foot traffic, and had highlighted concrete work already delivered, including a live music space and a night ambassador program.

This lands at an awkward moment. The Public Realm Plan redevelopment just moved from approval into design. 

The 200th-anniversary programming for 2026-2027 is supposed to be co-led by Ottawa Tourism and BMDA together.

 And BMDA is now doing both of those things without a permanent executive director, roughly five months after Council approved the redevelopment program it's meant to help deliver.

Where Ottawa Tourism fits in

Ottawa Tourism isn't a City department and isn't part of BMDA's governance structure, but it isn't a distant observer either. As a funded, active partner: it's co-leading the Bytown/ByWard Market 200th-anniversary programming alongside a City-funded temporary staff position, and BMDA maintains a dedicated "Tourism Liaison Lead" role focused on grants and major public events — a direct working relationship between the two organizations. 

When Ottawa Tourism says it will be "following" the Public Realm Plan, festival infrastructure, and the destination building, that's not a general industry interest — it's a stake in projects it's actively co-delivering. This raises  fair, concrete questions that any resident — or candidate — can reasonably ask over the next few months:

  • Does BMDA's leadership gap slow down the design work already funded for 55 ByWard Market Square, the York Street plaza, or the Clarence Street garage decision?
  • Who is accountable for the 200th-anniversary programming timeline while BMDA operates without a permanent executive director?
  • What's the actual reason behind the departure? "Internal and private" is a legitimate answer for a personnel matter, but BMDA is a municipal services corporation spending public money and delivering a Council-approved public plan — residents are entitled to know whether this reflects a strategy disagreement, a governance problem, or something else, once it can be disclosed responsibly.
  • Is this an isolated event, or part of a pattern? BMDA's structure itself is only three years old, created by merging two prior organizations. A second major leadership change this quickly is worth tracking.

The Market redevelopment is popular, funded (for now, in its design phase), and has deadline pressure from the 2027 anniversary. 

Whether it stays on track depends less on the plan itself — which is well documented — and more on whether the organization responsible for delivering it can find stable leadership before the next round of decisions comes back to Council.

Regardless, visible drug use and its debris is a real, commonly cited reason people avoid the Market, and no amount of streetscaping, plazas, or a destination building fixes that if the underlying safety/visibility problem isn't addressed at the same time.

Friday, 21 August 2026

#447 Hemlock and St. Laurent - circle it

Two Gateways, One Fix: The Case for a Traffic Circle at St-Laurent and Hemlock

Two Gateways, One Fix: The Case for a Traffic Circle at St-Laurent and Hemlock

A bookend to the traffic circle already on the table for Vanier Parkway and Beechwood — and a sequencing question Wateridge Village's growth makes urgent.

The proposal

Two intersections mark the north and south gateways of the same green corridor running through the Beechwood/St-Laurent area: Vanier Parkway at Beechwood Avenue on the south end, and St-Laurent Boulevard at Hemlock Road on the north end. Both are places where a landscaped, parkway-style road meets a mainstreet-scale arterial. Both are places where the City's own planning documents have already recognized that the standard signalized intersection isn't the right tool. I'm proposing a traffic circle at each — treating the corridor's two gateways the same way, instead of fixing one and leaving the other as an afterthought.

This isn't a new idea — the City already floated half of it

The Vanier Parkway/Beechwood circle isn't something I invented. It came directly out of the City's Beechwood Avenue Transportation Corridor brainstorming process, which listed "adding a traffic circle at the Vanier Parkway intersection" alongside other corridor ideas. The City has known this intersection deserved special treatment for years. It just never got built.

What's less noticed is that the City's own Beechwood Community Design Plan makes the identical argument for the Hemlock end of the corridor — just not about the St-Laurent intersection specifically. The plan's own language:

"Parkways — the Vanier Parkway, the Rockcliffe Parkway and, to a lesser extent, Hemlock Avenue — are sweeping, limited access roads surrounded by green landscapes… the place where Beechwood meets Hemlock is similar in nature to where the Rockcliffe Parkway meets Confederation Boulevard. It is at the latter location that the National Capital Commission and the City of Ottawa have built a roundabout."

In other words: the City has already built a roundabout on this exact logic — parkway meets mainstreet, treat it as a gateway — a few hundred metres away at Rockcliffe Parkway and Confederation Boulevard. The reasoning that justifies a circle at Beechwood/Vanier applies just as directly one intersection north, where Hemlock — the same "parkway-style" road named in the City's own plan — meets St-Laurent Boulevard. That's the corridor's other bookend, and it's the point where St-Laurent's speed limit steps down from 50 to 60 km/h zones into the slower, denser section that runs past Manor Park.

Why it matters more now: Wateridge

St-Laurent and Hemlock sits at the doorstep of Wateridge Village, the former CFB Rockcliffe lands now being built out as a new, still-growing neighbourhood. This isn't a hypothetical future traffic increase — Wateridge's own community association has already documented resident concerns about speeding on their internal streets, concerns serious enough that they pushed a council motion to improve transit service in the area. A neighbourhood that's still under construction is already generating enough traffic pressure to need council intervention. That pressure funnels toward St-Laurent at exactly the intersection this proposal targets, and Wateridge isn't finished growing.

That's the sequencing argument. We have a documented pattern in this ward of treating known problems as someone else's timeline — the St-Laurent LRT tunnel sat on an "urgent" 2020 inspection finding for over five years before repair funding moved. I don't want the north gateway of this corridor to become the next multi-year deferral, discovered only after Wateridge is fully built out and the intersection is already failing.

The safety case, on the City's own terms

The City of Ottawa's own roundabout guidance is explicit about why this matters for a corridor with a growing residential population on one end and a cemetery, seniors' community, and mixed-use towers on the other:

  • At a roundabout, a pedestrian crosses only two sections of one-way traffic moving at slow speed — not the multi-directional turning conflicts of a signalized intersection.
  • Roundabouts remove the risk of a driver running a red light through a crossing pedestrian, which signals can't design away.
  • Roundabouts keep traffic moving at lower, more consistent speeds through the intersection itself, rather than the stop-and-accelerate cycle of a signal.

None of this is me asserting national collision statistics onto a specific corner. It's the City's own published rationale for why it uses roundabouts at all — applied consistently to a corridor where the City has already used that rationale once, at Confederation Boulevard, and floated it once more, at Vanier/Beechwood, without ever closing the loop at the corridor's other end.

What I'm not claiming

I don't have site-specific collision or volume data for St-Laurent and Hemlock, and I won't pretend I do. That's exactly the kind of study the City should be running now, while the St-Laurent Boulevard Transit Priority Corridor EA — which already covers the Hemlock-to-Innes stretch — is active, rather than as a bolt-on after Wateridge's build-out is complete and retrofitting gets more expensive and more disruptive.

The ask

  • Fold a St-Laurent/Hemlock roundabout feasibility study into the live St-Laurent Transit Priority Corridor EA — the corridor boundary already starts at Hemlock, so the study scope doesn't need to be reopened, just extended to this intersection design.
  • Formally revisit the Vanier Parkway/Beechwood circle the City's own Beechwood corridor process already put on the table, instead of letting it stay a shelved brainstorming item.
  • Require Wateridge's projected build-out traffic volumes to be factored into both studies, not treated as a separate problem to be discovered later.
It's just not that hard
Peter Karwacki is running for Ward 13 (Rideau-Rockcliffe) in Ottawa's October 2026 municipal election.