Candidate for City Council - Rideau Rockcliffe peterkarwacki.overbrook@gmail.com AI tools are used for drafting, research assistance, charts, references, and music; facts and positions are mine.
The Ottawa Flying Club needs a new home by 2028. One answer on the table is an airstrip in our ward.
The Ottawa Flying Club’s lease on the north field at Ottawa International Airport expires in 2028, and the Airport Authority plans to redevelop that land.1 The authority’s answer to the club’s future is that Rockcliffe Airport would welcome the club, and it has offered support to facilitate a move.1
That airstrip is in Ward 13.
Rockcliffe was recognized in 2018 as Canada’s oldest active airport. The Rockcliffe Flying Club uses and maintains it beside the Canada Aviation and Space Museum.2 It has one paved runway of about 3,300 feet and no control tower.3
Who owns it depends on which source you read. One says the museum owns the field.2 Another says the flying club leases it from the National Capital Commission.4 If the public record can’t agree on who owns it, who should residents be talking to.
The club’s case is that its students train at an international airport and learn modern navigation systems that smaller airports don’t offer.1 Rockcliffe has no tower, so moving the club changes where it trains, not what it trains in. That isn’t a criticism of Rockcliffe. It means the question to answer is what training the club keeps and what it gives up.
Runway length may matter less than people assume. The north field’s runway is also reported at about 3,300 feet.5
Housing is being built on the former base lands, which Canada Lands Company owns.6 That is Wateridge Village, a few steps from the airstrip. More students and more flights raise noise and traffic questions. Residents should hear about them before a deal is signed, not after.
Ottawa-Gatineau is one capital region, and a river shouldn’t decide where pilots train. Gatineau-Ottawa Executive Airport has a 6,000-foot runway7 and already hosts flight schools.8 It is a serious option.
The decision is being made between an airport authority, a flying club and federal landholders, and the city’s role is unclear. Ward 13 absorbs the impact if the answer is Rockcliffe, and the region loses a century-old club if the answer is nowhere.
| Site | Runway | Control tower | Training already there |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Intl, north field (today) | about 3,300 ft5 | Airport is controlled | Ottawa Flying Club |
| Rockcliffe | about 3,300 ft3 | No3 | Rockcliffe Flying Club2 |
| Gatineau-Ottawa Executive | 6,000 ft7 | No7 | Fixed-wing and helicopter schools8 |
| Carp |
The club’s case rests on three things: instrument approaches, NAV CANADA air traffic services, and training in busy airspace. Here is how each one holds up, including where the evidence is thin.
The club’s president says outlying airports lack the instrument landing systems and GPS approaches that Ottawa International has.1 That is the strongest argument against any move, and it applies to Rockcliffe and Gatineau alike. For Gatineau the record is mixed. FAA-derived listings show no published instrument procedures,7 and the airport’s director general once said management had asked NAV CANADA for a GPS approach with vertical guidance.9 Meanwhile, the schools based there list instrument-rated programs.10,11 Approaches are published by NAV CANADA, not by the club or the city, which is why the first ask below is a NAV CANADA commitment.
Gatineau’s listing shows an Ottawa Departures frequency,12 so aircraft leaving the field work with the same Ottawa terminal control that handles the airliners. That suggests the busy-airspace experience comes from the region’s controlled airspace as much as from one runway.
The Canadian Aviation Regulations already require Ottawa International’s tower to provide air traffic services in English and French, and they list Gatineau’s flight service station for bilingual advisory and relay services.13 So bilingual service is not unique to Gatineau. The International Pilot Academy there is affiliated with Cégep Heritage College.10
Gatineau’s runway is 6,000 feet, almost twice Rockcliffe’s.7 The airport markets itself as a training hub with three flight schools on site.14 That gives the club neighbours, shared services and room to grow.
Gatineau may well be the best home. But the case rests on things nobody has published: which approaches would be available, and what the club needs to keep its standard. That is why the asks below start with NAV CANADA.
Judge the outcome by how many pilots the region trains, not by whether a relocation was announced. The lease ends in 2028, inside the next council’s term. Whoever sits on it will own this decision.
Checked October 18, 2026 against the sources named in each row.
| Organization | Type | Offerings | Fleet | Confirmation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aéroclub Gatineau-Ottawa | Flying club and flight school, at CYND since 2011 |
|
Cessna 150 two-seater (one aircraft per a third-party listing) | ConfirmedOwn website, page dated Jan 7, 2026. Tel. 819 598-0379. Intro flight pricing is by request. |
| International Pilot Academy | Flight school, in Gatineau since 2015 |
|
Not confirmed | Partly confirmedAirport page and a May 2024 news article. I could not reach the academy’s own site, so check current programs with them. |
| Select Aviation College | Aviation college, fixed-wing and helicopter |
|
40+ aircraft, including Cessna, Piper, Robinson R44 and Bell 505 | ConfirmedAviation trade news, June 10, 2026: 16-student spring 2026 intake at CYND. |
Preparedness means practicing for the outliers and reducing vulnerabilities in advance, not just reacting after a once-in-a-generation storm. The July 1 event and others give concrete local examples to build on.
**The July 1, 2026 flooding (up to ~167 mm in a few hours in places like Britannia, city-labeled roughly a 1-in-200-year event in spots, thousands of basement floods, major insured losses concentrated in Nepean/southwest Ottawa as part of a broader Ontario-Quebec thunderstorm event later estimated around $491 million) is a clear real-world example of the “expect the unexpected” theme in my 2023 unpublished.ca piece.** It showed how intense short-duration rainfall can overwhelm drainage, cause widespread property damage, disrupt services, and leave people dealing with insurance gaps, cleanup, and long-term fallout (some apartment residents reported months of issues).
Drawing from recent years of news, official climate assessments (including Ottawa’s Climate Ready work and vulnerability studies), and events that have already hit the National Capital Region or nearby, here are other plausible high-impact scenarios that are possible even if not the most probable in any given year. These align with the piece’s call to imagine and prepare for outliers beyond routine asset-focused planning.
### Extreme convective storms, tornadoes, and derecho-style wind events
Ottawa has already seen these. The 2018 EF3 tornado path from Dunrobin into Gatineau caused major structural damage, power outages, and injuries. The May 2022 derecho brought estimated gusts up to ~190 km/h in parts of the city, widespread tree and infrastructure destruction, power outages affecting hundreds of thousands (Hydro Ottawa described some impacts as worse than the 1998 ice storm or 2018 tornadoes in scale), fatalities regionally, and roughly $1 billion in damages across Ontario and Quebec. Smaller tornadoes have occurred more recently (e.g., Barrhaven area in 2023; EF0 near Kemptville in August 2026). Climate projections and recent patterns support more favorable conditions for severe winds, tornadoes, and long-lived thunderstorm lines. A stronger or more urban-centered event, or a sequence of them, remains possible and could combine with flooding or power loss.
### Ice storms, freezing rain, and severe winter events
The 1998 ice storm remains a regional benchmark for prolonged outages and infrastructure damage. A late-March 2025 ice storm in Ontario and Quebec was one of the costliest events of that year for insurers (~$466 million). Projections note more days near 0°C and potential increases in freezing rain under climate change, with recent warnings (e.g., around El Niño influences) of more freeze-thaw cycles and ice accumulation. Extended outages in extreme cold (or followed by thaw/flooding) stress heating, water systems, and vulnerable populations. Record snowfalls have also disrupted the city in recent years.
### Prolonged or intense heat waves
Ottawa has experienced multi-day heat events with high humidex values (near or at records around 46–47). 2025 already featured multiple heat warnings and a high number of days over 30°C. Official projections point to roughly four times as many very hot days by the 2050s under higher-emission scenarios, plus more humidity. Impacts include health system strain (emergency visits, hospitalizations), power demand spikes that risk outages, and amplified effects on seniors, outdoor workers, and those without adequate cooling. Compounding with wildfire smoke or infrastructure issues raises the stakes.
### Major riverine flooding or compound flood events
2017 and 2019 Ottawa River floods caused extensive property damage, access issues, and stress on critical infrastructure (including the Britannia water purification plant, which has required sandbagging and contingency planning for access and operations). Climate trends favor heavier precipitation and more intense spring freshets. A flood exceeding recent peaks, or one coinciding with urban pluvial flooding like July 1, 2026, could threaten water treatment, transportation, and low-lying neighborhoods. Permanent flood defenses have been discussed for the plants.
### Wildfire smoke, drought-related fires, or a larger conflagration in the Gatineau/Ottawa Valley area
Distant wildfires have already pushed Ottawa’s Air Quality Health Index to extreme levels (2023, 2025). Locally, Gatineau Park and Ottawa Valley areas see periodic high or extreme fire danger, open-fire bans, and occasional small blazes. Dry spells combined with climate factors, pests (e.g., pine beetles), and abundant fuels make a larger, harder-to-control fire possible, with smoke, evacuation, and ecological impacts—even if current risk is often moderate-to-low. The 2022 derecho already showed how wind events can devastate tree cover and create more fuel.
### Water supply contamination or disruption (including nuclear-waste related concerns)
The ongoing Near Surface Disposal Facility (NSDF) project at Chalk River (Deep River area, upstream on the Ottawa River) for low-level radioactive waste has faced legal challenges from Algonquin First Nations, opposition from downstream municipalities (including concerns for Ottawa, Gatineau, and Montreal drinking water), and debate over design, leakage potential, seismic activity, and extreme weather resilience. Official assessments have found limited expected impact with mitigations, but the controversy highlights a low-probability, high-consequence risk to the river that supplies the city. Accidental releases, extreme flooding/erosion interacting with waste sites, or other contamination events remain in the “possible” category. Access or operational issues at Britannia or Lemieux plants during floods add another layer.
### Cascading or compound failures
Recent years show the risk of overlapping stresses: power outages during heat or ice events; multiple extremes in one season (2026’s record-wet summer with the July 1 deluge); infrastructure strain on the 417/Queensway (hazmat or multi-vehicle incidents during weather); or social/service disruptions amplifying natural events. The city’s own climate resiliency work identifies priorities around flooding, heat, severe winds, freezing rain, invasive species/pests, and service continuity, with notes on reduced response capacity during repeated or simultaneous events.
These are grounded in events that have already occurred or are flagged in local climate vulnerability work—not pure speculation. Many are becoming somewhat less “unexpected” as patterns shift, which strengthens the case for proactive practice, community-level mitigation, and imagining worst-case overlaps rather than relying solely on process and asset inventories. Nuclear detonation or exotic scenarios from the piece remain far lower probability but illustrate the same logic of thinking beyond the routine.
MY piece’s core point holds: preparedness means practicing for the outliers and reducing vulnerabilities in advance, not just reacting after a once-in-a-generation storm. The July 1 event and the others above give concrete local examples to build on.
i
Estimated chance of at least one notable / impactful event during the four-year term. These are rough, qualitative judgments based on recent history, observed trends, and City of Ottawa / NCC climate projections — not formal actuarial or scientific forecasts.
| Risk | Estimated Probability (for 2026–2030) | Rationale / Recent Context |
|---|---|---|
| Intense short-duration rainfall / urban (pluvial)
flooding (July 1 2026 style) |
High 70–85% |
2026 already produced a near-record event; climate projections show increased extreme precipitation intensity. Multiple damaging urban floods possible. |
| Prolonged or
intense heat waves (multi-day, high humidex) |
Very
High 90%+ |
Multiple heat events already common. Projections indicate roughly 2–4× as many days >30 °C by the 2030s–2050s. Near-certain each summer. |
| Significant wildfire smoke
impacts (AQHI ≥7–10+ for multiple days) |
High 60–75% | Repeated heavy smoke episodes in 2023 and 2025. Large western and northern fire seasons remain likely under current climate trends. |
| Major ice storm / prolonged freezing rain | Moderate 35–50% |
1998 remains the benchmark; 2025 Ontario–Quebec ice storm was costly. More days near 0 °C increase the risk of freezing rain. |
| Severe convective storms / tornadoes / derecho-type winds | Moderate 25–40% |
2018 EF3 (Dunrobin–Gatineau), 2022 derecho (estimated 190 km/h gusts, massive outages), plus smaller recent tornadoes. Favourable conditions expected to persist or increase. |
| Major Ottawa River (riverine) flooding | Moderate 25–40% |
2017 and 2019 were significant. Heavier spring precipitation and freshets raise the chance of another large event, including potential impacts on water-treatment access. |
| Cascading infrastructure
failures (power + heat/cold/flood overlap) |
Moderate 30–45% |
Already observed when storms or ice coincide with extreme temperatures. Higher likelihood as individual extreme-event frequency rises. |
| Significant civil unrest / large-scale sustained protests | Low–Moderate 15–30% |
2022 trucker convoy demonstrated the possibility of multi-week disruption. Labour, housing, or political flashpoints remain possible but not the baseline expectation. |
| Local significant wildfire |
Low 10–20% |
Periodic high fire danger and small blazes occur; large, hard-to-control local fires remain uncommon but become more plausible in dry periods. |
| Major water-supply contamination
event (including nuclear-waste-related scenarios at Chalk River) |
Very Low <5% |
Ongoing controversy and residual risk around the Near Surface Disposal Facility and historical waste. Designed and regulated to very low probability of significant release affecting Ottawa’s drinking water. |
My Data-driven leadership versus "Leadership that listens" for Rideau-Rockcliffe.
Choose Real oversight. Transparent metrics. Resident-first solutions.
Voters have a genuine choice, not an automatic return of the status quo. The differences are documented, with sources, on a single summary page at Differences
Each bar is a ward's total YouTube views on Oct. 16, 2026, split by when the views arrived. Gray is the first reading; the colours are views added in each later period. Wards are sorted by total. Ward 13 (Rideau-Rockcliffe) is highlighted.
Wards 16 and 21 were acclaimed and have no debate. Wards 18–24 were first checked 9/14–15, so their gray segment is small. Periods are uneven in length (1 day to 2 weeks), so compare colours within a ward cautiously. Views are totals, not unique viewers. Source: Rogers TV debate videos on YouTube; counts recorded by Peter Karwacki.
Candidate platforms plus Rogers TV debate links and YouTube view counts. Voting day is Monday, Oct. 26, 2026. Platforms are short public summaries from campaign sites and news questionnaires (CTV, CBC, Ottawa Citizen), not endorsements. Wards 16 and 21 are acclaimed, so there is no contested debate. View counts below were last checked Friday, Oct. 16, 2026.
| Ward | Candidate | Platform (short) | Rogers TV debate | Views 10/16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Orléans East-Cumberland | Matt Luloff (inc.) | Finish east LRT links; cut Innes / Hwy 174 congestion; keep fares down; fund roads inside the existing budget, not a new levy. | Watch | 6,273 |
| Barbara Daniela Gandolfo | Restore lost bus service (95-style route); traffic calming; bilingual childcare; stormwater, trees, heat-resistant streets; east-end “fair share.” | |||
| Sherif Rizk | Accessible city services; anticipate problems instead of reacting; bilingual administration. | |||
| Bob Bell | Infrastructure transparency; questioned capital cuts; business-friendly process. | |||
| Tammie Trellert | Accountability and service delivery; limited published policy paper. | |||
| Mazhar Choudhry | Tech-enabled services; protect local heritage during growth. | |||
| Yvette Ashiri | Community-centred voice; inclusion; growth that includes families and newcomers. | |||
| 2 Orléans West-Innes | Laura Dudas (inc.) | Continue current representation; east-end roads, services and community facilities. | Watch | 2,091 |
| Jenna Jessop | Clearer City Hall communication; stakeholder engagement from a public-service background. | |||
| David Purchase | Service-oriented challenge; limited published platform. | |||
| 3 Barrhaven West | David Hill (inc.) | Finish first-term files; suburban growth, roads and community infrastructure. | Watch | 1,552 |
| Donna Blackburn | Social services, housing supports, school-community links from 16 years as an OCDSB trustee. | |||
| Jeff Balys | Independent business lens; “fresh perspective” rather than a long policy paper. | |||
| 4 Kanata North | Cathy Curry (inc.) | Continuity on Kanata North growth, the tech park and local services. | Watch | 1,817 |
| Rob Millan | “Build smart. Spend smart.” Lock in Stage 3 LRT; better west-end buses and March Road rapid transit; grow the tech park with housing and amenities; keep taxes in check. | |||
| James Murchison | Change in representation; thinner published platform than Millan. | |||
| 5 West Carleton-March | Clarke Kelly (inc.) | Rural roads, village services and a rural voice at council. | Watch | 1,391 |
| Christine Harrison | Community well-being and practical rural service. | |||
| Dylan Nose | Rural accountability; limited additional published detail. | |||
| 6 Stittsville (open seat) | Marie-Ange Yindaki Ahinful | Grow Stittsville responsibly; keep community character; women, youth and family services. | Watch | 6,382 |
| Tanya Hein | Resident advocacy; second run after 2022. | |||
| Kevin Hua | Resident service under growth pressure. | |||
| Paul Meek | Local business and employment lens on growth. | |||
| Sheetal Narwal | Community safety and responsible growth. | |||
| Devin Michael Fitzgerald O’Brien | Limited published platform. | |||
| Mani Sharma | Balance growth with village / rural identity. | |||
| Theresa Qadri | Local business and village character. | |||
| Chelsea Walton | City employee; operations knowledge and growth management. | |||
| 7 Bay | Theresa Kavanagh (inc.) | Inflation-capped taxes worsened the infrastructure deficit; open to higher taxes if needed for stormwater. | Watch | 871 |
| Spencer Radford | Aging stormwater needs upgrades; would support a “reasonable” tax increase, but not load every cost onto property tax. | |||
| Butch Moore | No tax hike or stormwater levy. Cut other spending first. | |||
| 8 College | Laine Johnson (inc.) | Stormwater capacity for climate extremes; better transit; road safety; keep pools and community centres maintained. | Watch | 1,014 |
| Abakar Malloum | Did not answer the CTV questionnaire; no detailed public platform located. | |||
| 9 Knoxdale-Merivale | Sean Devine (inc.) | Finish first-term files; infrastructure and neighbourhood planning on a high-traffic west-end corridor. | Watch | 1,925 |
| Cole Fraser Jones | Infrastructure first; accountability to residents “not to a party.” | |||
| Anna Ielo-Tal | Community-building and resident engagement. | |||
| Brandon Ly | Limited published municipal platform beyond biography. | |||
| 10 Gloucester-Southgate | Jessica Bradley (inc.) | Continuity; 14 years of community and political work in the ward. | Watch | 676 |
| Donna Dickson | Youth safety and community supports from a former trustee and youth-nonprofit founder. | |||
| John Redins | Accessible transit and disability inclusion. | |||
| Ayub Omar | Limited published platform. | |||
| Ahmed Rashid | Limited published platform. | |||
| 11 Beacon Hill-Cyrville | Tim Tierney (inc.) | Continuity; opposed an infrastructure levy in council debate; local roads and services. | Watch | 1,238 |
| Cathryne Milburn | Resident service from former city staff and a former OCDSB trustee. | |||
| Coreen Corcoran | Smaller-government / civil-liberties frame; limited municipal policy paper. | |||
| 12 Rideau-Vanier | Stéphanie Plante (inc.) | Safety, housing and bilingual downtown services in ByWard Market, Lowertown, Sandy Hill and Vanier. | Watch | 2,247 |
| Lyra Evans | Housing, inclusion and downtown livability from two terms as an OCDSB trustee. | |||
| Julie Fiala Chartrand | Limited published platform. | |||
| Brian Paquette | Limited published platform. | |||
| Michael Karl Sewanaku | Limited published platform. | |||
| Eric Smith | Limited published platform. | |||
| 13 Rideau-Rockcliffe | Rawlson King (inc.) | Housing, equity and ward services; seek a third term on that record. | Watch | 1,186 |
| Peter J. Karwacki | Lead on the next interprovincial bridge rather than “sit on the sidelines”; project-management lens. | |||
| 14 Somerset | Ariel Troster (inc.) | Affordable housing, funded social services, safer walking / cycling / transit; “leave no one behind.” | Watch | 2,700 |
| Robert Dekker | Centretown livability; community-association critique of current council direction. | |||
| Dillon Anderson | First-time council bid; limited standalone municipal paper. | |||
| Michael Tay | Newcomer settlement, youth and downtown services. | |||
| Nicholas Gollé | Limited published platform beyond biography. | |||
| 15 Kitchissippi (open seat) | Joanne Chianello | City Hall literacy; housing and urban-ward service expected to be central. | Watch | 2,334 |
| Brian Innes | Neighbourhood-association record; housing and main-street balance. | |||
| Subhir Uppal | Small-business and housing-approval lens. | |||
| Xavier Commerford | Limited published platform. | |||
| 16 River | Riley Brockington (acclaimed) | Reliable buses; road and sidewalk renewal; protect the McCarthy corridor; finish Alexander Community Centre; open River’s first library. A levy “will need to be debated.” | No debate (acclaimed) | — |
| 17 Capital | Shawn Menard (inc.) | Housing, climate and intensification with consultation; opposed treating an infrastructure levy as a “bogeyman.” | Watch | 933 |
| Farah Gulzar | “Leadership that delivers, not just promises”; families, seniors, youth and disability access. | |||
| Jaac Doduck | Youth engagement and neighbourhood services from the Glebe Community Centre. | |||
| 18 Alta Vista | Marty Carr (inc.) | Continue first-term service around hospitals, schools and established neighbourhoods. | Watch | 1,223 |
| Tressy El-Hawi | Stronger community centres; bilingual recreation for families, seniors and newcomers. | |||
| Muhyadin Omar Barkhat | Supports an infrastructure levy; seniors programming and more PSWs; more affordable housing. | |||
| Derek McSweeney | Public-service delivery focus; less published detail than others. | |||
| Elsa Niyongabo | Limited published platform beyond biography. | |||
| 19 Orléans South-Navan | Catherine Kitts (inc.) | Affordability, community safety and access to services in a suburban-plus-rural ward. | Watch | 1,212 |
| Jason Wing | Small-business / affordability pitch; not a career politician. | |||
| 20 Osgoode | Isabelle Skalski (inc.) | Modernize operations, cut red tape; rural roads and village services. | Watch | 484 |
| Bruce Anthony Faulkner | No CTV questionnaire on file; limited public platform. | |||
| 21 Rideau-Jock | David Brown (acclaimed) | No 2026 comparative platform. Record is rural roads, agriculture and village services. | No debate (acclaimed) | — |
| 22 Riverside South-Findlay Creek | Steve Desroches (inc.) | Experience managing fast-growing south-end communities; infrastructure catching growth. | Watch | 519 |
| Muyiwa Ojo | Financial-accountability challenge; detailed public platform still thin. | |||
| 23 Kanata South | Allan Hubley (inc.) | Continuity on west-end roads, recreation and the Kanata South business park. | Watch | 887 |
| Erin Coffin | Resident-first challenge after finishing second in 2022; Bridlewood Community Association president. | |||
| Sam Bhalesar | Political-organizing experience applied to ward service. | |||
| Megan Strazds-Esenbergs | Policy-analyst challenge; limited standalone campaign paper. | |||
| 24 Barrhaven East | Wilson Lo (inc.) | Transit-knowledge incumbent; south Barrhaven growth and local service. | Watch | 1,116 |
| Zahy A Adam | Accountable leadership on growth and services. | |||
| Ahmed Alsabaawi | Affordability and property tax; youth community centres; community safety. | |||
| Yoosaf Melparamba | Housing-market / growth lens; thinner published municipal platform. | |||
| Jules Ruhinda | Limited published platform in available questionnaires. |
Rogers TV hub: youtube.com/@ROGERStvofficial · Official list: ottawa.ca, who is running in my ward. Bars are scaled to the highest ward. Views are YouTube totals for each ward debate, not unique viewers. This page is a voter aid, not an endorsement.
| Ward | 9/12 | 9/13 | 9/14–15 | 9/18 | 9/24 | 10/3 | 10/9 | 10/16 | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Orléans East-Cumberland | 2,588 | 2,988 | 3,341 | 4,231 | 4,858 | 5,565 | 5,882 | 6,273 | ×2.4 |
| 2 Orléans West-Innes | 1,078 | 1,203 | — | 1,551 | 1,689 | 1,875 | 1,976 | 2,091 | ×1.9 |
| 3 Barrhaven West | 358 | 447 | — | 788 | 1,025 | 1,296 | 1,437 | 1,552 | ×4.3 |
| 4 Kanata North | 830 | 998 | — | 1,327 | 1,451 | 1,638 | 1,721 | 1,817 | ×2.2 |
| 5 West Carleton-March | 474 | 579 | — | 828 | 973 | 1,132 | 1,267 | 1,391 | ×2.9 |
| 6 Stittsville | 2,831 | 3,131 | — | 4,388 | 5,131 | 5,811 | 6,088 | 6,382 | ×2.3 |
| 7 Bay | 451 | 481 | — | 616 | 668 | 742 | 788 | 871 | ×1.9 |
| 8 College | 479 | 538 | — | 699 | 794 | 894 | 953 | 1,014 | ×2.1 |
| 9 Knoxdale-Merivale | 743 | 890 | — | 1,273 | 1,524 | 1,713 | 1,785 | 1,925 | ×2.6 |
| 10 Gloucester-Southgate | 314 | 340 | — | 463 | 511 | 594 | 650 | 676 | ×2.2 |
| 11 Beacon Hill-Cyrville | 147 | 373 | — | 791 | 911 | 1,067 | 1,147 | 1,238 | ×8.4 |
| 12 Rideau-Vanier | 674 | 873 | — | 1,478 | 1,715 | 1,998 | 2,117 | 2,247 | ×3.3 |
| 13 Rideau-Rockcliffe | 238 | 325 | 452 | 633 | 776 | 935 | 1,033 | 1,186 | ×5.0 |
| 14 Somerset | 426 | 720 | — | 1,405 | 1,858 | 2,341 | 2,467 | 2,700 | ×6.3 |
| 15 Kitchissippi | 338 | 531 | — | 1,141 | 1,418 | 1,894 | 2,025 | 2,334 | ×6.9 |
| 17 Capital | 130 | 292 | — | 578 | 708 | 813 | 857 | 933 | ×7.2 |
| 18 Alta Vista | — | — | 78 | 737 | 917 | 1,108 | 1,151 | 1,223 | ×15.7 |
| 19 Orléans South-Navan | — | — | 28 | 772 | 918 | 1,093 | 1,152 | 1,212 | ×43.3 |
| 20 Osgoode | — | — | 28 | 210 | 293 | 412 | 439 | 484 | ×17.3 |
| 22 Riverside South-Findlay Creek | — | — | 8 | 363 | 411 | 474 | 488 | 519 | ×64.9 |
| 23 Kanata South | — | — | 481 | 533 | 587 | 759 | 801 | 887 | ×1.8 |
| 24 Barrhaven East | — | — | 51 | 652 | 746 | 980 | 1,038 | 1,116 | ×21.9 |
Growth is the 10/16 count divided by the first reading. Wards 18–24 were first checked 9/14–15, so their growth multiples are not comparable with wards checked 9/12. Ward 4 on 9/18 was recorded as “>1327”.
